Google

Thursday, December 13, 2007

Learn Forex. You'll Be Glad You Did!


When you learn forex, you are basically learning economics. You learn about the ups and downs of the market place, the way that money changes hands in the world, and how to predict market trends. Anyone in the financial world knows that the most important issue in making money is the knowledge that one attains in order to gain an advantage over the competition.


Information is king! Once you learn forex, your outlook on currencies, stocks, and analysis taken on everything in the market will never be the same.


The benefit of becoming accustomed to a user-friendly environment that is Forex allows for the user to learn forex in the every day environment of the market place. Using a good forex site gives the novice a chance to increase skills learned on the job and allows for experienced market followers to learn a wide array of information in a timely manner.


When time is of the essence, a reliable source of information and know-how needs to be at every financial planner and analyst's finger tips. A good forex resource can be very helpful. Being even a second too late or too early can mean the difference in making or breaking a trade. When you learn forex, you are learning to be successful.


It is equally important to learn forex charts and graphs to be able to monitor the market and its trends. There is plenty of information available on the internet that will help you to understand Forex trading and how to analyze and decipher market trends. The significance of having these types of tools is that moves can be made in the financial world based on the reliable data that is provided within the contents of Forex.


When you learn forex, you learn how to become a savvy investor and statistician. To be able to look at the market and make predictions is what these training programs intend to teach you to do confidently and make a success of your trading.


If you are going to learn forex, realize that it does take time. You may be eager to begin trading, but it is advisable to go through some of the courses and seminars that are available. These will ensure that you make the correct decisions regarding your currency trading and give you a better chance at attaining the large profits that are possible. Remember, you can never learn too much about forex.

FOREX or Futures. Where to Trade


Our modern futures market originated in the 19th century when farmers began selling contracts to deliver agricultural products at a later time. They did this to attempt to anticipate market needs and to smooth the supply and demand during the off-season


The futures market has changed dramatically since then, in current times the futures market is no longer restricted to agricultural products. This worldwide commodities market now includes such things as manufactured goods and financial products as well as agricultural products. A futures contract is a guarantee that a certain product will be sold at a fixed price on a certain date.


When speculators play the futures market there is no expectation of the products being delivered and the actual goods are not even important. It is actually just the contracts themselves that are traded and the value of these contracts is in constant fluctuation.In every futures contract there are two positions a long position and a short position. The short position is filled by the seller and the long position is the buyer. Futures accounts are settled on a daily basis.


As an example a farmer enters into a contract with a grocer to sale him 1000 bushels of corn at $10 a bushel. At the end of the specified time the contract is settled, if the current market price of corn is at $9 a bushel the farmer will realize an extra profit of $1000 dollars on the contract and the grocer will have lost the same amount. In this situation the farmer now sells his corn at $9 a bushel on the open market but his loss is covered by the profit from the contract. The grocer now will buy his corn for $9 a bushel but in reality he is still paying $10 a bushel because of the cost of the contract. If he had not entered into a contract he could have bought his corn for $9 and saved $1000. However if the price of corn had risen significantly to $13 a bushel he would have saved himself $3000.


Speculators try to guess the direction of the market fluctuations and make a profit by buying and selling contracts.


FOREX


The FOREX market has numerous advantages over the futures market. Since it is the largest financial market in the world it is far larger than the futures market. The FOREX market is also far more fluid, which makes it easier to execute stop orders with very little slippage.


The futures market is usually only open 7 hours a day where as the FOREX exchange is open 24 hours a day 5 days a week. This extra time makes the FOREX market more fluid and allows traders to take advantage of this by trading at any time instead of waiting for the markets to open.


There are no commissions in FOREX trades; the brokers make their profit through the spread. This is the gap between the currency buy price and selling price. In futures contracts the trader has to pay commission fees on every transaction. Due to the extremely high volume of trades in the FOREX market most transaction are executed almost immediately, this allows for better price control of your trades. In future contracts the price the broker quotes will be from the last transaction and your price could be significantly different.


In the futures market debits are a constant possibility due to daily fluctuations. The FOREX exchange has many built-in safeguards in the trading system that helps protect the traders.

How To Choose The Correct Forex Trading Software For You

Just like with stock trading, there are a large number of software programs you can use to make your foray into the foreign currency exchange markets. You will find that you have two basic choices, either web based or desktop based programs. Which way you choose to go is entirely up to you. If you travel a lot you may want to opt for the web-based variety instead of having to haul around a laptop and trying to find a good Internet connection for it.

Most of the more reputable Forex brokers offer software programs to their clients at no charge, however the software they provide is usually very rudimentary at best and you may have to pay more to get the features you really need. This is another issue to consider when choosing a broker to handle your exchange business. Many Forex websites have free demo accounts available which will allow you to experiment before you get locked in with one company or spend your money on something you don't like.

Since the Forex market is constantly changing and evolving you will also want a software program that changes with it. Another issue that is absolutely crucial to your success in the Forex markets is a super fast Internet connection. If you do not have DSL, at a minimum you will have a tough time. I recommend broadband. If you have dial up just forget about it. I will tell you again that you need the fastest Internet connection you can afford.

Another really important issue when considering a Forex software program is security. As a rule, web based software programs are much more secure than the ones that you install on your desktop. The problem with desktop software is that it opens you up to a wide range of possible security breaches that could possibly leave your personal financial information vulnerable. Not only do you have the issue of viruses and Trojans, but you are also opening yourself up to loss of data due to hard drive crashes. When you add the possibility of hackers getting into your system, that adds even more skepticism about using desktop based programs.

With web based software programs the majority of the security and maintenance issues will be taken care of by the software provider. Internet based Forex software systems are hosted on secure servers with the most secure encryption technology available. In addition to the security issue is the protection of having all of your information backed up so it won't be lost.

As I mentioned in the beginning of the article, another great benefit of web-based software is that it is available from anywhere in the world that you can get Internet access. This is the way I chose to go since I do a great deal of traveling and I liked the fact that the software is constantly updated so I don't have to always upload a new version to my computer.

Getting Credit Cards after Bankruptcy


It is not uncommon to go through the agony of facing a bankruptcy and spending many a sleepless night worrying about whether you have any chances of getting credit cards after bankruptcy. This might have been impossible earlier, but not now. Increasing market competition has ensured that there are now credit card providers who specialize in providing credit cards after bankruptcy.


It is not too difficult to get a credit card after bankruptcy from these kinds of credit card providers. The only hitch is that they take a higher interest rate and a lower credit limit. This is because of the risk that they are taking for offering a credit card after bankruptcy to a person.


It is not difficult to rebuild good credit after bankruptcy. In fact filing for bankruptcy in the court is a good move in itself. It might be a huge blow to your credit report but eventually it will prove to be a sensible move. Once you have eliminated debt by filing for bankruptcy you can make a new start by applying for bankruptcy credit card application. You should take care that you fill you bankruptcy credit card application properly. While filling up your bankruptcy credit card application make sure that all your paid expenses are shown as paid or else they would tag along and spoil your new credit report.


You can either opt for secured credit cards after bankruptcy or unsecured credit cards after bankruptcy. A secured credit card after bankruptcy is a wiser decision than an unsecured credit card. These are secured by special savings account one establishes with a credit card issuer which acts as a security for his credit limit. A unsecured credit card is exactly its opposite. Once you have opted for a secured or unsecured credit card after bankruptcy make sure that you build up a good credit report. Building up a good credit report is absolutely essential if you want to come to a good standing back again. For this, always pay your bills on time and also cut down your expenses to bare essentials. Another way to rebuild your credit after bankruptcy is to add years of positive credit history to your account. It is a slow and could be an agonizing process but once you build a good credit record, you will be in a different league altogether.


Credit cards after bankruptcy while on one hand may prove to be expensive, but then, they can help you secure a stronger footing in future with regards to your credit rating.

The Fundamentals Of Forex Trading


If you are already a trader or is hoping to become one, sure you have heard about forex trading methodologies used by the pros and the like. You will either go by the fundamental trading or by the technical trading which most of them follow. Fundamental analysis places emphasis on critically examining the intrinsic values of currencies and the reasons to their movements regardless of their directions.


The Basis of Fundamental Analysis

For doing fundamental analysis of a particular currency, one needs to get deeper insights beginning from that country's political history, economic policies and performances, inflation for evaluating that currency's potential. These points are some building blocks of an economy. You can obtain such reports over internet. Scrutinizing the reports must indicate whether a country is progressing or not as it implicates large reversals in forex values in case of economic deviations from the norm.


Key Elements in Fundamental Analysis

1. GDP: Gross Domestic Product or the overall earnings of countries. The single most decisive parameter to judge whether countries are progressing. Uncertainties in GDP and GDP growth figures cause fluctuations in currency valuations.

2. Industrial Production: Higher the industrial production the better; better still if a greater chuck of the produce is exported which adds to which adds to the country's forex buying power adds to the forex reserve. As the reserve grows the local currency trends upwards

3. Consumer Price Index: Tells whether the country is gaining or loosing on the export front when this moves up and down respectively.

4. Inflation Rate: Higher the prevailing inflation rate lower is the currency's valuation in the forex market because of its weakened buying power. You can correlate the trends in both of these.


There are several other indicators of equal importance such as the forex reserve, human development index, infrastructural growth, foreign trade in general and balance of payment (BoP) etc which needs to be given due importance.


How to Use These Indicators?

Economic indicators are mirrors of a currency's trending directions as much as they are a country's prospects in general. Governmental policies, annual budgets and credit & other financial policies are formally announced at definite times by various agencies. An analyst must have a country's economic calendar by his side in order not to miss out.


One must contrast the opposite country's fundamental parameters too. But the golden line in fundamental analysis is never to rush but realize that the released figures are often revised later. Trend setting changes through policy changes are likely to last longer than those indicated by technical analysis.

Pivot Point Trading In Forex Trading


Pivot points are some of the exciting trigger points for traders to enter positions in forex market as well as equity trading, although this is more or less extensively used in forex market. Calculating the pivot points is pretty simple and makes the trading day an eventful one if you got your calculations right.


So what is a pivot point? Quite expectedly the pivot point is one at which the market changes its direction for the day.


How to Calculate Pivot Points?

Use the simple formula for calculation:

Pivot point for the day = High (previous) + Low (previous) + Close (previous)

3

In short pivot point for the current day equals the average of high, low and close values for the previous day. Once having calculated the pivot point, you need to find out derivatives like three supports and resistance levels each for the current day. Here are the formulae to use for the purpose

R3 = High + 2*(Pivot - Low)

R2 = Pivot + (R1 - S1)

R1 = 2 * Pivot - Low

S1 = 2 * Pivot - High

S2 = Pivot - (R1 - S1)

S3 = Low - 2*(High - Pivot)


So you have 7 points all put together; 3 resistances and 3 supports and one pivot point. Most of the action is going to be around S1, R1 and pivot points for the day. This is because by the time market could reach R2, R3 or S2, S3 it will already be over bought or sold


Going forward, it would be invitation for going short if the market opens below the pivot and long if it is other way round. However, real world strategies differ hugely from this ideal situation.

Trading Strategies Using Pivot Points

There are several strategies for the vivid day trader who can use the pivot point. Some of them are rather simplistic while others are advanced where one needs to consult additional indicators such as MACD


Basically, at every support levels and resistance levels, if the rend reverses you have the chance to enter long positions or short positions and put stop-losses at the preceding low or highs respectively. Some times the market pulls back from a support which is a signal for short entry. This trend continues for quite some time if, at that point the MACD is in a selling mode


It is prudent for the trader to refer back to MACD at critical stages before entering into positions.

Online Forex Trading Tutorial


There is an old adage connected to online forex and stock trading. It goes some what like this If you are inexperienced and have money and meet an experienced trader, but without money, you are likely to end up with experience and the experienced trader your money. There can be some semblance of truth in this but what this infers is trading without experience and strong fundamental knowledge of the market is an invitation to loss making.


Online Forex Trading Tutorial

There are several reputed online forex trading houses that cater to retail investors and traders. The same trading houses offer to train their prospective and existing clients on the nitty gritties of online forex trading most of the times free of cost.


What You Need To Learn About Online Forex Trading?

If you are a novice you need to start from the beginning. The macro economic factors that affect price volatility and the demand and supply of currencies that trigger the short term fluctuations which are your trading opportunities and most importantly the points of entry and exits form the basis of your learning.


Most of the online forex trading tutorials available require you to open a cost free demo/practice account so that you get exposure to either real time or simulated environment for better understanding.


Online Forex Trading Tutorial Curricula

You will see that, generally all the tutorials have more or less the same curricula. Basically speculations are made through a number of charts and indicators.

Chart Types:

1. Line chart

2. Bar chart

3. Candle stick chart


All these charts are price plots for selected periods. Then there are several indicators that help make decision. The important and most followed ones are


1. Average true range (ATR)

2. BOLLINGER BAND

3. Commodity Channel Index

4. Linear Regression

5. MACD

6. Momentum

7. Moving average

8. Parabolic time price

9. (ROC)Rate of Change

10. Relative Strength Index

11. Slow Stochastic

12. Standard Deviation

13. Stochastic


All charts and indicators are taught with sufficient demonstrations for self study. The tutorials deal with the patterns and formations made by charts/indicators and what they mean. While charts help you for short term speculative trading (technical analysis) they don't concentrate on the underlying reasons for price movements. This is the ground for fundamental analysis. The study of macroeconomic factors such as changes in government policies, wars etc that influence supply and demand, and as a consequence prices, constitute the fundamental analysis. These things are illustrated in contrast with demonstrative price movements.


A History of Trading


The first recorded instance of futures trading occurred with rice in 17th Century Japan. Some evidence would show a possibility that there was also trading of rice futures in China as long as 6,000 years ago.


The first recorded instance of futures trading occurred with rice in 17th Century Japan. Some evidence would show a possibility that there was also trading of rice futures in China as long as 6,000 years ago.


In the middle of the 19th Century futures trading began in the grain markets of the United States. The Chicago Board of Trade (CBOT) was established in 1848. The New York Coffee, Cotton and Produce Exchanges were born in the 1870s and 1880s. Today there are ten commodity exchanges in the United States. The largest are the Chicago Board of Trade, The Chicago Mercantile Exchange, the New York Mercantile Exchange, the New York Commodity Exchange and the New York Coffee, Sugar and Cocoa Exchange. Worldwide there are major futures trading exchanges in more than twenty countries among them Australia, New Zealand, Canada, England, France, Singapore and Japan. The products traded range from agricultural staples like Corn and Wheat to Red Beans and Rubber traded in Japan. Also included, are products as seemingly obscure as Pork Bellies up to our now infamous Petroleum Futures.


The biggest increase in futures trading activity occurred in the 1970s when futures on financial instruments, (FOREX) started trading in Chicago. Foreign currencies such as the Swiss Franc and the Japanese Yen were first. Also developed as futures marketable were interest rate instruments such as United States Treasury Bonds and T-Bills. In the 1980s futures began trading on stock market indexes such as the S&P 500. Other Derivatives followed.


The world wide exchanges are constantly looking for new products on which to trade futures. Very few of these new markets survive and grow into viable trading vehicles. A few examples of less than successful markets attempted in recent years are Tiger Shrimp and Cheddar Cheese.


Futures trading is regulated by the Department of Agriculture in an agency called the Commodity Futures Trading Commission. It regulates the futures exchanges, brokerage firms, money managers and commodity advisors.

Forex Trading History


In 1967, a Chicago bank refused a loan in pound sterling £ sought by a college professor by the name of Milton Friedman. He had intended to use the funds to short the British currency. Mr. Friedman had perceived sterling to be priced too high against the dollar, and wanted to sell the currency, then later buy it back to repay the bank after the currency declined, thus pocketing a quick profit. This is what's known as 'Selling Short'. The bank's refusal to grant the loan was due to the Bretton Woods Agreement, established twenty years earlier, which fixed national currencies against the dollar, and set the dollar at a rate of $35 per ounce of gold.


The Bretton Woods Agreement, set up in 1944, aimed at installing international monetary stability by preventing money from fleeing across national borders, and restricting speculation in the world currencies. Prior to the Agreement, the gold exchange standard--prevailing between 1876 and World War I--dominated the international economic system. Under the gold standard, currencies gained a new phase of stability as they were backed by the price of gold. It abolished the arbitrary practice used by kings and dictators of arbitrarily debasing money and triggering inflation.


But the gold standard wasn't without faults. As an economy strengthened, its imports would heavily increase until it ran down the gold reserves required to back its money. This would cause the money supply to shrink, interest rates would rise and economic activity could slow to the extent of recession. Eventually, prices of goods had to hit bottom, and become attractive to other nations, which would rush into buying frenzies that injected the economy with gold until it increased its money supply, thus driving down interest rates and recreating wealth in the economy. Such boom-bust patterns prevailed throughout the gold standard until the outbreak of World War I interrupted trade flows and the free movement of gold. This of course was followed by 'The Great Depression', which arguably was ended by World War II.


After the Wars, the Bretton Woods Agreement was established, whereby participating countries agreed to try and maintain the value of their currency with a narrow margin against the dollar and a corresponding rate of gold as needed. Governments were prohibited from devaluing their currencies to their trade advantage and were only allowed to do so for changes of less than 10%. Through the 1950s, the ever-expanding volume of world-wide trade led to massive capital transfers generated by post-war construction. This destabilized foreign exchange rates that had been set up in The Bretton Woods Agreement.


The Bretton Woods Agreement was finally abandoned in 1971, and the gold window was closed on the US dollar. By 1973, currencies of major industrialized nations became more freely floating, mainly controlled by forces of supply and demand acting in the foreign exchange market. Prices were floated daily, with volumes, speed and price volatility increasing through the 1970s These fluctuations gave rise to new financial instruments, market deregulation and trade liberalization.


Beginning in the 1980s, international capital movements accelerated with the explosion of computer technology and high speed communications. The world wide markets became virtual 'local market' through Asian, European and American time zones. Transactions in FOREX zoomed from about $70 billion a day in the 1980s, to more than $1.5 trillion a day two decades later.


THE EUROMARKET

A major catalyst to the increase in foreign exchange trading was the rapid development of the Eurodollar market, where US dollars are deposited in banks outside the US. Similarly, Euro markets are those where assets are deposited outside the currency of origin


In the 1950s Russia's oil revenues-- all in dollars -- were deposited outside the US in fear of being frozen by US regulators. This gave rise to a vast offshore pool of dollars outside the control of US authorities with the attendant creation of The Eurodollar market. The US government imposed laws to restrict dollar lending to foreigners. Euro markets were particularly attractive because they had far fewer regulations and offered higher yields. From the late 1980s onwards, US companies began to borrow offshore, finding Euro markets an advantageous center for holding excess liquidity, providing short-term loans and financing imports and exports.


London was the principal offshore market, as it remains even now. In the 1980s, it became the key center in the Eurodollar market when British banks began lending dollars as an alternative to pounds. This allowed them to maintain their leading position in global finance. London's convenient geographical (Time Zone) location (operating during Asian, Pacific and American markets) is also instrumental in preserving its dominance in the Euromarket.

FOREX Beats the Stock Market


Companies issue stocks to raise capital for expansion, equipment and other projects. Stocks have been a very popular form of investment for years. Each share of a stock a person owns represents a small ownership of the company.


Stock values fluctuate based on the fortunes of the company. When the company is doing well the stock price will increase, at this time the investor can sell their stock to capture the profit or they can continue to hold it in hopes of greater profits in the future. Some companies will pay dividends on stocks; dividends are a small share of the profit per each share of stock.


To buy and sell stocks you must use a broker and go through one of the stock exchanges. In the US there are two exchanges, the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) and the National Association of Securities Dealers Automated Quotation System (NASDAQ). Some very large companies may have stocks on multiple exchanges but most companies will sell their stocks on one or the other.


Until recently the stock market was seen as a long-term investment strategy. Most portfolios would have a large number of "Blue Chip" stocks. These are stocks that have proven their value over a long period of time. With the addition of internet trading we are seeing what is typically known as day trading. Day traders attempt to take advantage of the daily fluctuations in the market by making multiple trades during the day. This is a fairly high-risk method of investment and is further hindered by the large number of commissions charged for each transaction.


In some cases stocks can be bought on margin. In the stock exchange your margin rates are usually about 50%, which means you need half the cost of the stock to be able to buy it.


FOREX


The FOREX exchange is significantly different than the stock exchange. On the FOREX exchange almost all trades are short-term trades, in fact a trader may only hold a currency for a few minutes before moving it again. Since there are no brokers fees in the FOREX exchange you can make numerous trades in one day without racking up large commission fees.


With over $1.5 trillion in trades every day the FOREX exchange is the largest financial market in the world. To put this in perspective all of the American stock markets combined only handle about $100 billion worth of trades a day. This huge volume causes the FOREX exchange to be the most fluid market in the world. Because so much of the world economy is dependent on moving currency from country to country there is always a buyer and a seller for every currency combination. The stock market on the other hand is not nearly as liquid, you may not always find a buyer for the stock you want to sell or a seller for the stock you want to buy.


The FOREX market is not located in a single place but is worldwide. Due to time zone changes the FOREX market is open 24 hours a day 5 days a week.


Stock exchanges are normally only open for 7 hours a day, you can not buy or sell a stock if the exchange that it is listed on is closed at the time.


FOREX is more predictable than the stock market as well. It follows well-defined patterns, you can also leverage better in FOREX than the stock market. Margin accounts in FOREX run as high as 100:1 which means you only need $1 to buy $100 worth of currency.